Bitcoin above ___ on October 21?

the price of Bitcoin leads at 100%, followed by the price of Bitcoin at 100% and the price of Bitcoin at 100%. Odds reflect live trading across 11 outcomes.

the price of Bitcoin, at 100% implied probability.

The market resolves on October 21, 2026. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See the resolution rules above for official verification criteria and designated reporting sources.

$424.9k has traded cumulatively on this market across 11 outcomes.

Yes. Polymarket trades are settled on-chain on Polygon, so all positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on PolyAlertHub to inspect wallets, smart money positions, and recent whale activity in this market.

Prediction markets aggregate distributed information and financial incentives, historically providing more accurate probabilistic forecasts than expert panels or unweighted surveys. Confidence grows as trading volume and participant diversity increase.

Click "Trade on Terminal" to access low-latency order execution, depth charts, and live orderbooks. PolyAlertHub also provides automated smart wallet alerts, volume anomaly detection, and whale tracking for every Polymarket contract.