A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Frequently Asked Questions
Flávio Bolsonaro leads at 77%, followed by Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva at 23%. Odds reflect live trading across 2 outcomes.
Flávio Bolsonaro, at 77% implied probability.
The market resolves on October 26, 2026. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See the resolution rules above for official verification criteria and designated reporting sources.
$188.8M has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Yes. Polymarket trades are settled on-chain on Polygon, so all positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on PolyAlertHub to inspect wallets, smart money positions, and recent whale activity in this market.
Prediction markets aggregate distributed information and financial incentives, historically providing more accurate probabilistic forecasts than expert panels or unweighted surveys. Confidence grows as trading volume and participant diversity increase.
Click "Trade on Terminal" to access low-latency order execution, depth charts, and live orderbooks. PolyAlertHub also provides automated smart wallet alerts, volume anomaly detection, and whale tracking for every Polymarket contract.
