Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
$425.2k Vol.
•
Resolves Jan 1, 2027
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026: 5%
K2
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026
5%
$425.2k Vol.
About
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
"Yes" is trading at 5% implied probability, while "No" is trading at 95%. Odds reflect real-time orderbook pricing on Polymarket.
"No", at 95% implied probability.
The market resolves on January 1, 2027. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See the resolution rules above for official verification criteria and designated reporting sources.
$425.2k has traded cumulatively on this market across 1 outcome.
Yes. Polymarket trades are settled on-chain on Polygon, so all positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on PolyAlertHub to inspect wallets, smart money positions, and recent whale activity in this market.
Prediction markets aggregate distributed information and financial incentives, historically providing more accurate probabilistic forecasts than expert panels or unweighted surveys. Confidence grows as trading volume and participant diversity increase.
Click "Trade on Terminal" to access low-latency order execution, depth charts, and live orderbooks. PolyAlertHub also provides automated smart wallet alerts, volume anomaly detection, and whale tracking for every Polymarket contract.
K2
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026
