The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Frequently Asked Questions
JD Vance leads at 20%, followed by Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 13% and Jon Ossoff at 10%. Odds reflect live trading across 54 outcomes.
JD Vance, at 20% implied probability.
The market resolves on November 8, 2028. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See the resolution rules above for official verification criteria and designated reporting sources.
$717.6M has traded cumulatively on this market across 54 outcomes.
Yes. Polymarket trades are settled on-chain on Polygon, so all positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on PolyAlertHub to inspect wallets, smart money positions, and recent whale activity in this market.
Prediction markets aggregate distributed information and financial incentives, historically providing more accurate probabilistic forecasts than expert panels or unweighted surveys. Confidence grows as trading volume and participant diversity increase.
Click "Trade on Terminal" to access low-latency order execution, depth charts, and live orderbooks. PolyAlertHub also provides automated smart wallet alerts, volume anomaly detection, and whale tracking for every Polymarket contract.
