Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Frequently Asked Questions
Chiang Wan-an leads at 57%, followed by Puma Shen at 42% and Kuo Hsi at 0%. Odds reflect live trading across 3 outcomes.
Chiang Wan-an, at 57% implied probability.
The market resolves on November 29, 2026. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See the resolution rules above for official verification criteria and designated reporting sources.
$1.4M has traded cumulatively on this market across 3 outcomes.
Yes. Polymarket trades are settled on-chain on Polygon, so all positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on PolyAlertHub to inspect wallets, smart money positions, and recent whale activity in this market.
Prediction markets aggregate distributed information and financial incentives, historically providing more accurate probabilistic forecasts than expert panels or unweighted surveys. Confidence grows as trading volume and participant diversity increase.
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