Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
Gadi Eizenkot leads at 50%, followed by Benjamin Netanyahu at 30% and Naftali at 13%. Odds reflect live trading across 19 outcomes.
Gadi Eizenkot, at 50% implied probability.
The market resolves on October 28, 2026. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See the resolution rules above for official verification criteria and designated reporting sources.
$49.2M has traded cumulatively on this market across 19 outcomes.
Yes. Polymarket trades are settled on-chain on Polygon, so all positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on PolyAlertHub to inspect wallets, smart money positions, and recent whale activity in this market.
Prediction markets aggregate distributed information and financial incentives, historically providing more accurate probabilistic forecasts than expert panels or unweighted surveys. Confidence grows as trading volume and participant diversity increase.
Click "Trade on Terminal" to access low-latency order execution, depth charts, and live orderbooks. PolyAlertHub also provides automated smart wallet alerts, volume anomaly detection, and whale tracking for every Polymarket contract.
